The automotive industry in 2013

Volkswagen2013In China sales will rise at least9%

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Estimate2012Volkswagen car sales in China will achieve10%The percentage growth, and2013Years will grow at least9%.

2011Volkswagen car sales in China226Million, year-on-year growth17%. According to this year10%Calculation of popular this year, sales in China will reach250Million.

According to the "Automotive News Europe" report, recently held in2012Years of Tianjin Summer Davos Economic Forum, the Volkswagen Group board chairman Ferdinand Piech said, is expected to2012Volkswagen car sales in China will achieve10%The percentage growth, and2013Years will grow at least9%. His public performance in China continued to grow with confidence: "the growth potential is huge. There are still many people do not have Chinese car, we expect there will be a large number of consumers to buy popular products." Volkswagen Group2011Global sales836.1Million vehicles, terminal sales to consumers826.5Million; sales in China226Million, year-on-year growth17%. According to this year10%Calculation of popular this year, sales in China will reach250Million.

Reporter comments on: behind any scenery has cost, according to the German "business daily"(H andelsblatt)Reported recently, Volkswagen2012Annual global sales target970Million vehicles, due to the European automobile market environment is worsening, and recently the target forecast30Million to940Million. The embarrassing is the backyard on fire, the public partner FAW plagiarism the accusedEA111Engine technology patents, the latter response need not plagiarism has outdated technology, and independent research and development4GBAnd4GCThe project more cattle, the first half sentence is right, but the second half of the sentence is where the position, saying the "joint venture" the whole twenty years, the market gave Germany scored, and China learned exactly what amazing technology

2013Two major problems: the cost of raw materials in automobile industry/Loan

2013Years automotive industry raw materials costs and limited bank loans is the two largest automotive industry emphatically considered.

The survey100Auto industry senior management staff and consultants, near40%Said the rising costs of raw materials,21%Said limited bank loans is a major concern for the development of automobile industry. The automobile industry is facing challenges also include suppliers of financial distress and labor problems

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USA "Detroit news" the latest news, according toDykemaAuto Industry Research Association10Month17Data released on the,2013Years automotive industry raw materials costs and limited bank loans is the two largest automotive industry emphatically considered.

　　DykemaPresident of the Automotive Industry Research AssociationAleks MiziolekSaid, the car industry, the past few years have attracted a lot of attention. Each of the Large Firm experienced change radically, deal with changes in supply chain of automobile industry cautious, future sustainable success challenges remain.

2013The market of new energy vehicles a

2012-08-31

"Tang" to "Teng potential and electric future" of Italy, is BYD and Daimler established joint venture company after the first car of new energy resources, the first electric vehicle is expected to2013Years listed.

Civic hybrid version

The ninth generation Civic Hybrid version has started nervously in domestic road test, expected by the end of this year or next year listed for sale. The new car fuel consumption per 100 kilometers is about5.4L.

PublicXL1

PublicXL1For the public"1Lift car "strategy of the third generation models, designs the concept car is very avant-garde, like a dolphin. Expects the production models will be on2013Year.

BMWISeries of two new energy vehicles

BMWI3Car uses a lot of new technology as well as high-grade materials. The vehicle on the extensive use of carbon fiber material, and the carriage part uses a higher strengthCFRPCarbon fiber reinforced composite materials.

VolvoC30Electric vehicle

C30Advanced lies in direct contact with the charging process does not need the car and charging plate, this technology will greatly reduce the charging time.

Mazda NEWRX-9Hybrid sports car

　　RX-9In addition to the rotor rotor car engine technology Mazda unique, new car will be equipped with a hybrid system from the Toyota. Unlike ordinary parallel hybrid power system,RX-9Hybrid system, the matching of range extended electric motor.

2013Years Chinese light vehicles increased to8.5%

2012The global light vehicle sales growth4.4%,

2013The growth years China light vehicle demand8.5%Below, growth2012Years1Month expected10%.

Moodie cut2013Years Chinese light vehicles increased to8.5%

Date:2012-9-25

According to foreign media reports, Moodie said, because of weak demand in Europe and Chinese decline in sales, the company has cut2013Global car sales growth is expected to. Moodie is now expected, next year the global light vehicle sales growth2.9%, growth below1Month expected4.5%.

2012The global light vehicle sales growth4.4%There will be more and more, the European automobile manufacturers announced restructuring plan to deal with the problem of excess production capacity of automobile. Light vehicle demand will decline next year in Western Europe3%, previous expectations for growth3%Chinese light vehicle demand will increase8.5%, growth below1Month expected10%.

Electric vehicles2013Years is expected to usher in the spring,2011The annual national sales of new energy vehicles8159Car.

May foresee, along with the more and more local government "subsidies", "no limit" and other means of support, stimulate new energy automobile consumption, coupled with the State encourages manufacturers such as playing volley, force, when the infrastructure in place, automotive technology improvement, new energy vehicles in China in the next year or burst strength the development of new energy vehicles, ushered in the "spring". The silence of the new energy automotive industry boom time, next year will be lit again.

First of all, the state issued the "energy-saving and new energy automobile industry development plan (2012-2020Years) ". At the same time, each big automobile giants world have issued new energy automobile key research direction, and almost all the main independent brand is in full blossom in hybrid and electric cars, will hope as a "electric future". In addition, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other local governments have also introduced new energy vehicles subsidy policies. Predictably, the new energy vehicles in the three functions of the State encourages manufacturers, power, policy support, will stimulate consumption, usher in rapid development period, and eventually become the new hope of automobile market.

To2015Years, pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid car accumulative total sales to reach50Million. This means that the pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales of more than12Million units, the initial annual sales of at least also need to reach3Million to5Million.

However, the "planning" is the biggest bright spots in the country have made big background auto purchase limit policy, new energy vehicles not in purchasing list. The industry pointed out that, in the future the traditional energy automobile purchase or will become normal circumstances, won the "energy-saving green passport" and new energy vehicle market share is expected to rapidly expand, perhaps next year's new energy vehicle accelerating years.

2012Years3Month, Toyota automobile launched the "clouds moving plan" in our country, the program in environmental technology, clear from the "oil" and "out of oil" two angles, comprehensive strategy to promote "energy-saving and new energy vehicles in traditional car" racing together bridle to bridle.

At the same time, people developed the "blue drive technology" has been carried in the golf, still will roll out in succession later Sagitar, MAGOTAN BlueMotion version version.

In addition, in new energy, and the Mercedes Benz "blue efficiency" universal ", push the fuel cell vehicle" and BMW's "efficient dynamics", it is particularly important, BMW research and development of electric vehicleIThe brand will be officially listed production. In addition, almost all the main independent brand is in full blossom in hybrid and electric cars, will hope as a "electric future".

Three party power electric vehicle2013Years is expected to usher in the spring

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May foresee, along with the more and more local government "subsidies", "no limit" and other means of support, stimulate new energy automobile consumption, coupled with the State encourages manufacturers such as playing volley, force, when the infrastructure in place, automotive technology improvement, new energy automobile domestic maybe next year erupt force, usher in the development of new energy vehicles "spring".

Since last year, sales growth of the domestic car market continued to decline, the manufacturer to market reversal also disappeared without a trace. However, with the Chengdu show draws near, quiet new energy automobile industry boom for a period of time, has recently been lit.

To2015Years, pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid car accumulative total sales to reach50Million.

　　The State encourages new energy vehicle acceleration

　　2012Years, an important turning point in the future development is the new energy vehicles, relevant policies on the promotion of new energy vehicles obviously accelerated pace.

Among them, the most important is the last month the State Council officially released "energy-saving and new energy automobile industry development plan", "planning" referred to the development of new energy automobile industry will YISHION electric drive for the development of new energy automobiles and automobile industry the main strategic orientation, the current focus on the promotion of pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles industrialization.

"Planning" requirements, to2015Years, pure electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid car accumulative total sales to reach50Million. In the "planning"50Million target calculation, this means that the pure electric and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales of more than12Million units, the initial annual sales of at least also need to reach3Million to5Million.

Of course, the "planning" is the biggest bright spots in the country have made big background auto purchase limit policy, new energy vehicles not in purchasing list. The industry pointed out that, in the future the traditional energy automobile purchase or will become normal circumstances, won the "energy-saving green passport" and new energy vehicle market share is expected to rapidly expand, perhaps next year's new energy vehicle accelerating years.

In the trend of global Protect environment, energy saving, the car giant is go to all lengths of development of new energy vehicles.

　　Factory strength

Auto giant Entertainment

In the trend of global Protect environment, energy saving, the car giant is go to all lengths of development of new energy vehicles.

This year3Month, Toyota automobile launched the "clouds moving plan" in our country, the program in environmental technology, clear from the "oil" and "out of oil" two angles, comprehensive strategy to promote "energy-saving and new energy vehicles in traditional car" racing together bridle to bridle.

At the same time, people developed the "blue drive technology" has been carried in the golf, still will roll out in succession later Sagitar, MAGOTAN BlueMotion version version. It is reported, this technology to power the Volkswagen mature technology and assembly technology as the foundation (includingTSI,TDIAndDSG), combined with the collection of electric drive, hybrid and other new drive technology, a series of energy-saving, environmental protection, for the future of automotive technology.

According to incomplete statistics Chinese automobile industry association,2011The annual national sales of new energy vehicles8159Car.

Local subsidyBoost automobile consumption market

At present, the new energy automotive consumer market is not ideal. According to incomplete statistics Chinese automobile industry association,2011The annual national sales of new energy vehicles8159Car. However, the future consumption of domestic car subsidy policy stimulus may greatly change.

Guangzhou, Beijing as "the purchase of city", the new energy automotive policy is different from the traditional fuel vehicle, Beijing does not take Yaohao policy for new energy vehicles, Guangzhou direct subsidies to buyers1Million yuan. At the same time, in the7Month31The day of release in Guangzhou City Hall restrictions, but also to the new energy automobile opens the door, the monthly1200A license plate index for new energy cars or fuel-efficient than20%Hybrid models above.

Get into8Months later, including Beijing, Shanghai, Wuhan, Shanxi, and other provinces are mostly in the planning of new energy vehicle support scheme.7Day, Shenzhen city plans to use new energy vehicles carrying out preferential to the public.

May foresee, along with the more and more local government "subsidies", "no limit" and other means of support, stimulate new energy automobile consumption, coupled with the State encourages manufacturers such as playing volley, force, when the infrastructure in place, automotive technology improvement, new energy automobile domestic maybe next year erupt force, usher in the development of new energy vehicles "spring".

The Ministry of environmental protection: heavy duty vehicle2013Years7Month1The implementation of National IV standard date

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The Ministry of Environmental Protection announced yesterday, from2013Years7Month1Date, gasoline, heavy vehicles will be officially implemented national IV emission standard.

Notice that, since the2013Years7Month1Date, all production, import, sales and registration of gasoline engines of heavy-duty vehicles must comply with national IV standard requirements, the relevant enterprises should promptly adjust production, import and sales plan. Production, imports of heavy vehicle gasoline engine and automobile companies, according to China IV standards to the environmental protection department of the environmental protection type approval, the Ministry of Environmental Protection approved models of environmental protection type approval certificate issued by the. Since the announcement date, do not meet the requirements of heavy truck stop accepting China IV standards for gasoline engine and automobile type approval.

It is understood, light-duty gasoline vehicle emission standards from China IV2011Years7Month1Began implementation. According to the environmental protection department previously announced schedule, diesel cars China IV standards will also be in the next year7Month1Began implementation. Beijing this year will be the first implementation of the fifth phase motor vehicle emission standards, the message says, the fastest9Under. (

Opel2013European car market development will be more difficult

2012-09-29

　　2012Years9Month28Reuters, Opel cars expected2013European car market development will be more difficult.

"I am not a pessimist, but I must say Opel didn't expect next year's auto market will have a turn for the better", Opel marketing director Luo Kaifu(Alfred Rieck)At the Paris international auto show Reuters (acceptedReuters) said in an interview.

Opel2013The annual sales will exceed 1 million

　　2013Years, Opel cars expected pin vehicles of more than 1 million, Luo Kaifu is full of information for this object.

Over the years, Opel has been fighting and loss. Influenced by European car weak, Opel now working time shorten. However, Luo Kaifu stressed, not in order to improve the Opel brand share and blindly prices.

Lay offs are inevitable

Industry experts said, in the closed in BelgiumAntwerpenFactory, Opel at least also shut down a plant. Opel will announce the new cost control plan at the end of October.

The German metal Industrial Union (IGMetall) and Opel Union in order to save Germany Bochum factory was closed to fate, no longer require wage growth.

2013Years of heavy truck market economic environment expectation analysis

The whole world only in the Chinese society, heavy truck has been as a means of production, labor tools and people "money machine", and then to become the "booster" of economic development and known as the "national economy 'barometer' and 'vane'". Since the so-called "only modified without political reform" for thirty years, from the economic level is not difficult to find: heavy truck over the trajectory is as long as the social and economic development is good, the truck production and sales volume increases with the explosive growth, even if the economy is not good; down or to a "hard landing", the truck the market will be potential drop drop, and even a policy fermentation followed, can right heavy truck market trend, heavy truck is the most typical policy market, which seems to be a Chinese characteristics of the truck market rules.

2008The global financial crisis caused by a greater impact on the China economy, the central government introduced up to4Trillion yuan of investment plans, but in the low investment efficiency, private enterprise of unfair distribution and the power rent-seeking and other problems, which led to overcapacity and damage to the equity of market economy order, and more and more corrupt caused a huge loss of state assets and other bad results, largely offset by a huge investment returns the resulting, especially government investment in real estate and other non production inefficient industries, is essentially a kind of bubble economy, increase the economic risk, the national take out a huge sacrifice but not from obtain any interests. At the same time, the entity economy such as manufacturing industry did not benefit from it damaged by extrusion, in recent years showed a downturn and decline trend. Plus tax heavy tax on overweight load and raw materials, the prices, resulting in many non SOEs state especially small and medium-sized private enterprises were shut down or escape.

Expected next year, the negative effect will be more apparent, in commercial vehicle field in the truck market hit harder, because the truck carrying the whole national economy development of logistics industry.

In the global economy is generally difficult background, concerns three aspects Chinese economic growth in consumption, investment, export, are shrinking trend is clearly. Although the government implementation of the whole society China strain every nerve to be "dimensional stability" and "economic development growth" policy, in an attempt to maintain a relatively stable economic environment, but because the system has a terminal illness, an agent "red formula" illness could not reverse the downward economic situation, then the previous high growth momentum. Performance inGross domestic product,CPI,PPISince the2011Years since, showing a growth for low weak trend. According to the National Bureau of statistics data showed an open,China2012Second quarter gross domestic productGross domestic productThe growth rate of third consecutive quarters of decline, fell to7.6%,CPIFor the2%,Considering the social stability as well as not existing false data, official figures should be quite conservative, the actual situation may be more severe. Affected by this, the stock market in Chinese9Month below3The lowest point since the psychological half years2000Points, thus become the global stock market in Cyprus and the worst performance of the worst market, national confidence index fell to the lowest point, however "be happy" index was up to the highest point.

As the world's second largest economy, Chinese economy in stride forward singing militant songs - after thirty years of growth, the development process of the first showing a weakness, caused by the international economic circles and the media about Chinese economy will fall into the "middle-income trap" or "hard landing", the actual economic long-term hovering not before its prospects. From the consumer level, high savings, low consumption desire, consumption structure, consumption capacity are serious deformity of the main problems, although the government has taken a series of measures to cut interest rates, the establishment of a social security system to stimulate consumption, butHave a decisive influence on worries about a recession and the conservative expected income growth or on people's consumption trends, leading to domestic demand continued to slump, this is also reflected in the transportation industry and the reaction in the truck market,No money no money no more goods to Korah and transport market vicious competition of ultra low cost, heavy truck market recovery?Another plus continuous up oil prices and more rampant more impersonal fines charges, more make the next heavy truck market expectations whirling, chill!

Because4 inflationary pressures trillion investment has reduced a lot. The "big eighteen" before, to promote national economic development and stimulate consumption, "three carriages" of "investment" first hang high gear, economic stimulus plan have been right in front of the door, some ministries more heavy traffic on the street, the big business in Xinglong, the world's greatest intangible market. Since the resulting second half of the year, the central government at all levels have on the financial, real estate (local government), railway, highway, water conservancy construction project, the policy loosening, stable economic growth in order to exert policy presetters fine-tuning,, the role of.

Share of the global total output occupies half of the China commercial vehicle market, with years of continued to fall once again become the focus of public opinion. Especially in the first three quarters, the cumulative decline of heavy card market30%Above2011The second half of the market decline continues. Enter since October, heavy truck and the overall auto market, and did not appear as the "golden nine silver ten" the traditional peak season. On the contrary, heavy truck market in the9Monthly sales4.2Million, year-on-year decline30.8%. This shows that the Chinese market economy inherent contradiction and vulnerability and outside of their future distrust, China heavy truck is a true reflection of the downturn and vivid portrayal of the status quo of the economic development.

Heavy truck industry after nearly two years of keep going by painstaking effort, finally ushered in the good news. The second half of this year, the national development and Reform Commission has approval25A rail transit and railway projects and the approval by the13Department of highway engineering project and7Port and other national great project. Meanwhile, local governments across the country have started investment competition situation, investment plan over trillion. The local Edition"Four trillion"Potential development space for the heavy truck market.But the real impact2013Heavy truck industry rapid market recovery investment field, to see the "big eighteen" after the government of the mode of economic development and macro-control policies of the trend, in order to make a further feasibility judgment.

It is reported, in order to stimulate consumption, expanding domestic demand, a new round of the "car to the countryside" policy will be introduced in the near future, and continued to2013The first half of the year. The "car to the countryside" policy and "than before the expansion is expected to". After the farmers to purchase1.3Litres or less of mini bus, to give a one-time subsidies, a new round of policy or subsidies to expand the scope of1.3Litres of the following small cars and heavy trucks with old change new subsidy costs will increase. The central government to the introduction of these policies, whether the weakness lends wings to rumours.? Introduction can make nothing of it, and do not have, still seems to heavy truck market influence is not big, heavy truck never get any benefits in the Huimin policy.

2012Years9Month, Jilin Province issued "on the promotion of the eleven policy measures" the steady growth of the industrial economy in the measures second clear: the provincial agricultural industrialization leading enterprises in the province to buy the inclusion of FAW Volkswagen Automobile Brand subsidies Huinong directory products, according to the sales price6%The highest subsidies, subsidies for bicycle3Million yuan. In the2012Years8Month,Fujian Province issued a "special action program" Fujian technical transformation of enterprises, plans in the "Twelfth Five Year Plan" period will be completed technical transformation investment1.4Trillion, of which2012Years and2013Years were completed2000Billion yuan and2600Billion yuan. Guizhou province has plans to invest3Trillion, Chongqing and Tianjin investment plan1.5Trillion, Guangdong and Hubei also have1Trillion investment plan. Each of the provinces and cities the average investment1Trillion yuan, including railway, highway, bridges and so on infrastructure investment, such as Guangdong to Baiyun Airport expansion, new7Subway, speed up your wide and Nanning Guangzhou railway Guangzhou section construction, Hubei1.1Trillion mainly Hubei economic belt along the Yangtze River infrastructure construction, will be added13Bridge across the river, the longest period of sustained investment in the coming ten years....

So far, almost all of the country's local government has issued pull planning about the local industry, investment, consumption and other aspects of the conservative planning a total investment of more than12.8Trillion, according to incomplete statistics, the actual investment planning,Beyond20Trillions,To become the new "four trillion" local edition "merchants" version of the blueprint stimulus."The big satellite"Astronomical money money come from and the application efficiency, people even questioned the voice, but the social funds to pay more attention to is the stimulus plan will boost for the economy, especially for the dismal atrophy of the heavy truck market is so moving, and worthy of heavy truck industry attention.

Heavy truck industry and China's infrastructure investment is the most important and the largest correlation. A big investment projects in the central and local government plans, the dismal heavy truck market, is undoubtedly very inspire people news, sustained investment will bring great power for heavy truck market. As the city rail and highway traffic, water conservancy and other national, local infrastructure construction projects, will directly stimulate the engineering vehicle sales; and for iron and steel, cement and other building materials demand, will directly or indirectly to enhance the use of demand driven car, truck. Therefore, motivation is expected next year the heavy truck market may have a certain "Renaissance", but is not clear clear and bright.But when will next heavy truck market like the last round of investment boom, in the "big eighteen", to achieve reproducible heavy truck industry annual sales volume exceeded historical million high.

But according to some economists analysis: "investment plan and the amount of local this round of local government fiscal income comparison be inferior by comparison. The total planned investment in China last year accounted forGross domestic productGross value1/4Last year, total revenue more than2.5Trillion yuan." It is not difficult to deduce and judge the amount of water: investment plan this round of local government is larger, the money from where? Many local governments throughout the country have been in debt, debt, virtually bankrupt, on the back of farmers' land and blood and economic life, changed the law to bad idea to people tax and fee, the fat of the people to search and seizure, now the people are boiling with resentment, The people are destitute. So, certainly, the bubble Chinese current local government investment plan, "the dinosaur economy" is not reliable, there is a big variable growth can bring heavy truck market. So,2013Years of heavy truck market difficult out of the slump in the swamp, the country has yet to be introduced next year, a series of policies to stimulate the economy and support. In a word,2013The overall economic environment and heavy truck enterprises difficult survival present situation and the market is still severe development situation, it is not optimistic.

In Europe before the crisis, the international car enterprises have to increase China market inputs, and now in crisis under the car, in order to alleviate the pressure of excess inventory itself, will be more new products into the China, and increase the input of the national market.

The negative effects brought by the European debt crisis continues to deepen in the European market, European car enterprises executives on the future of the European car market is showing hitherto unknown fears. In order to alleviate the impact of the crisis, the adverse situation in enterprises at present. Factory closures, layoffs, cuts production and R & D funds, car enterprises have resort to every conceivable means. But now they also have to look to emerging markets, hope that through increased investment in emerging markets to achieve corporate recovery, the China market attention is particularly strong.

In April this year, Shanghai Volkswagen factory in Xinjiang foundation, in June the same year, Fiat factory in Changsha completion. International car enterprises compete for market from first-tier cities into three or four line city, competition in the upgrade. For local car, international car enterprises to seize the three or four line of the city, no doubt will further squeeze the living space.

But Qiao Shengpu said, although the survival pressure is more and domestic car prices in the domestic market is big, but still maintained a growth in exports, but the next period of time is still good

And Chinese car enterprises export to Europe the main emphasis on Russia, Bulgaria and other countries in central and Eastern Europe, and the national auto market still maintained a rapid growth, therefore, only the European crisis, the China car exports impact will not be great.

The fourth quarter economic situation may not be so pessimistic, the scale of financing and investment in fixed assets such as the data in the right. For the heavy truck industry, the fourth quarter may be better in the three quarter.