Shanghai automobile city building market positioning and the preliminary plan of marketing
Created:
/Author:
Aaron Lewis
One, the market report
(a) the Shanghai office building market environment analysis Shanghai's economy showed strong growth momentum in recent years, the 2003 city GDP grew 11.8%, to $75300000000.At the same time, the direct use of foreign capital of $5900000000, a 30.1% increase over the previous year.Subsequently, the Shanghai grade A office market in late 2002 has seen strong demand situation.But from 2004 to April, sales area of real estate sales, rental prices declined, on one hand, showed a decrease in sales prices continued to climb to stimulate aggregate demand, on the other hand, shows the impact of macro-control measures on the real estate industry is gradually becoming apparent. The introduction of the first half of 1, in 2004 the real estate macro-control policies 2004 has been the real estate industry known as the "policy year".In this short time of half an year, small real estate policy emerge in an endless stream, mainly from the land market, the real estate finance market, moving buildings, affordable housing and other specific regulatory policy. (1) the land policy To overhaul in 2003, continue to increase the intensity, the country in 2004 and promulgated the "supplementary provisions about stopping agreement transferring state-owned land use rights of operating the project" (4 orders), "on further land market order rectification strengthen land management advice", "Office of the State Council on the revamp Development Zone to strengthen construction land management notice", "Ministry of land use division on the construction site for the system implementation of the notification", "2004 national land use plan" notice, "on the in-depth development of the land market rectification strict land management of the emergency notice" the introduction of these policies, on the one hand. Agricultural land to construction land subject to strict control, land development area amplitude fall after a rise, land transaction prices continued to rise; on the other hand, the national each chief city land market to mature. (2) the real estate financial policy A, real estate credit scale The central work along both lines, a policy issued to control and regulate the size of bank lending, which can effectively inhibit the source of funds overheated industries, on the other hand, by adjusting the proportion of capital, to build an industry access threshold.In April 11th the central bank announced that, from April 25, 2004 onwards, financial institutions, capital adequacy ratio falls below a certain level, will implement the 8% of the deposit reserve ratio, the wholly state-owned, joint-stock commercial banks, foreign financial institutions such as the implementation of 7.5% of the deposit reserve ratio, the aim of limiting commercial bank credit expansion blindly.The real estate industry is one of the prime target of credit control.In April 27th, the State Council issued a notice, the real estate development projects of fixed assets investment (does not include affordable housing) capital ratio from 20% to 35% and above. B, raise the threshold of personal housing mortgage loans As the central control of the credit scale real estate development, around five one, all major banks have adopted corresponding measures to increase the threshold of personal housing mortgage loans, summarizes the main is to limit the individual purchase of the 2 set (and above the 2 set) housing and high-grade villas, to control real speculation, stabilize prices.In February 26th, Chinese CBRC issued the "guidelines on risk management of commercial banks in real estate loans (Draft)"."Guidelines" provisions, the issuance of Commercial Bank of individual housing loans, the monthly housing expenditure and income of each housing loans than 50% control in the following (including 50%), on all debt expenditure and income than 55% control in the following (including 55%); real estate loans to total loans may not be more than 30%.In May 15th, Hushang banks have second suite of the first payment ratio increased to three, while for the third suite of property buyers, banks basically do not provide loans to support. C, the strengthening of individual housing loans, loans shops, villas, office loans audit Recently, Shanghai major commercial banks are to strengthen the office loans credit audit system, industrial and Commercial Bank of China, now China bank, construction bank, Bank of communications, Bank branch financial network has made it clear that he did not accept this business, the agricultural bank lending conditions than last year are more demanding, the loan amount to assess the value of 6 for 10 years, age shrinkage.Because of the tightening of bank loans to the 2004 Shanghai commercial showing a downward trend with the development and changes in housing. (3) the policy side effects Developers face major reshuffle, the strong stronger, the weak will be eliminated.Real estate enterprise capital chain continue to tighten, the strength is not strong developers will face greater difficulties.To increase the difficulty of financing means that real estate developers increased development costs, the process will undoubtedly accelerate the Real Estate Company of the survival of the fittest.The brand, strength, management ability of the company will receive a larger space for development, and to get more policy support; and strength is not strong, the lower credit quality, the heavy historical burden, the higher debt ratio of the real estate developers will be gradually eliminated. (4) real estate policy In order to stabilize emissions prices, governments around the world have continued promulgated a series of real estate policies, which involves due real limit, low price matching housing policy, affordable housing and the demolition management policies. A, forward delivery housing limited to policy Shanghai issued "on the pre-sale of commercial housing assignment decision" explicitly pointed out: since April 26, 2004, the pre-sale of commercial housing Yugouren purchase shall be transferred in the acquisition and the completion of real estate, for the transfer of real estate registration according to the provisions; in to obtain the property right certificates, registration of real estate agencies not for sale of goods the transfer of housing registration. B, the online registration system In March 30th, the official opening of the Shanghai commercial housing sales online registration system, Shanghai all pre-sale, (1) the macro-control big background, the real estate market will enter a period of adjustment, real estate profits, prices will tend to be reasonable. A series of regulatory policies issued in the first half of 2004, will emerge in the second half of the year.The second half of the first half of the raise a Babel of criticism of some discussion of property tax policy, such as interest rate policy will be further clear.At the national macro-control big background, the real estate market will enter a period of adjustment, real estate profits, prices will tend to be reasonable. 2, the supply of office space, the vacancy rate, absorption analysis According to statistics, the Shanghai office new supply and video traffic building market in the past 3 years are: 2001 187000 square meters and 450000 square meters, in 2002 338000 square meters and 405000 square meters, 2003 to 310000 square meters and 350000 square meters.Visible, 2001-2003 years relative lack of new supply, the stock market has consumed, the sharp drop in the vacancy rate, the market supply.In 2004 -2007 estimates there will be 4000000 square meters of office supply market, the Shanghai grade a total area of nearly 8000000 square meters.Therefore, is expected around 2005 will usher in the office focused on the supply period, this stage of the office of the housing market may face callback pressure.With the first half of 2004 macroeconomic policy, also have a certain impact on the office market rental.According to the research data of 2004.6 Chinese estate Shanghai monthly show: 04 years in May, the small Lujiazui area vacancy rate is smaller, Huaihai Road, people's Square is increased to 8%, the Nanjing West Road Hongqiao Development Zone, area 9%, Xujiahui area vacancy rate increased to 20%. 3, the rent and price analysis Shanghai office rent rise has reached Asia first, third in the world, the rent growth rate has reached 9.7%, Shanghai grade A office building supply shortages, which in the past two years the Shanghai grade A office market vacancy rate decline, rents gradually rise. In the first quarter of 2004 continued strong demand of Puxi and this new property (enterprise Avenue and Raffles Plaza) of high rental under the impetus of Shanghai grade A office market average rent price rose slightly, the central region of the average grade A office rental price than the last quarter rose 1.1%, reaching $0.67 / day / square meters.Which covers rent Jiaoshangjiduo rose 3.1%, reaching $0.66 / day / square meters.One quarter of the Pudong market demand is weak, the average grade A office rents continued to decline from the two quarter of last year, the quarter on quarter fell 4.4% to $0.67 / day / square meters.Although the first quarter revenue is very big, but the concern is the rental price than the actual transaction price by 10-20%, in some high property, even higher.Compared with the first quarter, (strong rental sales market demand limited lead to sales prices relatively on the quarter moderately decreased by 3%, to 2693 U. S. dollars / sq m.) The development trend of the office market, Shanghai 4 (1) the quantity and quality to improve synchronization, office style diversification development With the entry into the WTO and Shanghai's successful bid to host the World Expo, as well as the development of headquarters economy strategy is paying off, the Shanghai office market demand will be increasingly popular.Seize this opportunity, the supply of flats will be rapid growth.The emergence of SARS increased awareness of environmental and health seriously, therefore, green, health, environmental protection, comfort, intelligence, convenience, internationalization, personalized, differentiated, customized become keywords office development trends.Therefore, residential, business, catering, entertainment, fitness, shopping with a combination of low density, integrated business office will be very popular.Adapt to the developing trend, customization will become the future direction of the office development.Character design will enable both inside and outside the office of the view shine, also reflects the occupancy of the concept, to meet the needs of. (2) the change of ownership is more adapt to the market, small property, the property sale of office more popular Because of the unbalance of the Shanghai office market supply and demand, rental costs increased year by year, the rental cost constraints, small property, the sale of office buildings began to appear.At the same time, the bank interest rates have been reduced, it is common to pull the retail investors' enthusiasm, rapid recovery, but also conducive to the developer fund risk diversification.For Grade A office space investment demand mainly from the financial institutions, listing Corporation and active private enterprises.Now investors are optimistic about Xuhui and Changning, because these two areas are trying to upgrade the status of its business, building a world-class city deputy center.In contrast, some other traditional downtown central business district, can be used to build office areas are becoming less and less, and have built general office rents are not only sold.In addition, adapt to the international situation, the owner and the operator of the separation of property, has become an inevitable trend of the trend of the times (3) in the Department of industry, considering the characteristics of the economy, and the positioning of the concept of Part of the cost -- benefit comparison of the driving force, the enterprise Office Area will also exhibit dispersion tendency.Previously are included in the company's departments such as HR, administration, marketing, planning, research and development, business management, from the nature of the business of their point of view, the office is not necessarily have to be located in the center of the CBD, each department has its suitable geographical location and the different nature of the scope of activities.In view of this phenomenon, office developers can be targeted and the part of economical and practical industry and sector positioning.Such as large enterprises Multi-National Corporation headquarters, financial consortium, domestic as well as emerging high-tech companies, can be based on extensive survey potential residents demand on targeted design.From the broad sense, this is an important consideration content personalization and customization trend, positioning before development is an important factor to determine the market performance. (4) selective transfer layout trend -- to non downtown office The development of knowledge economy, information society has greatly changed the traditional economic meaning of distance.The development of modern means of communication, means of transportation, shortens the distance, changed the spatial.Virtual space, the emergence of SOHO centralized office space for the office of the traditional is a challenge.Of course, because of the difference of industry and sector specific, and face the needs of information exchange, SOHO is only part of the phenomenon, but also is the important trend.Especially with the development and enhancement of suburbanization on the surrounding economic radiation ability and modern service industry increasingly detailed division of labor, office centrifugal tendency building also will be a major development.In this process, people will occur selectively, produce layout system more level, the level of.Specifically, the central business district will gradually become a gathering place of high-grade office buildings, which will be conducive to the development of Shanghai to the international business center; and the lower level of office service function is to transfer to non central area.Putuo, Yangpu district is expected to benefit the transfer, Putuo District green branch building is designed to adapt to the trend of. (two) in the office market in Anting area At present, the International Automobile City, especially in Anting, are not already completed the delivery of a grade or grade A office market.In the construction of the International Automobile City building, away from the International Automobile City building not far from "the building", but in June this year, 28 days after the 5 office projects have laid the foundation stone of building. Two in the public square of the five projects, the other three is located in the city car club street.The total supply is expected to 175009 square meters, positioning is the business, leisure, entertainment as one integrated modern business building; building standards, facilities are good; investment is expected to be in 2006 first half of the year under.(see Table 1) in this way, will the overall business environment in Anting into the "old town", the matching is still not complete, commercial atmosphere basic lack of automobile city building will undoubtedly bring competition and resistance is not small. (three) Chinese auto market forecast and analysis 2004 automobile market in the first half of the situation reflected in the stock market, auto stocks collective diving, the car crash, "Chinese Securities Daily" expert analysis, automobile output increased at the same time to increase inventory, sales decline while prices fell again, the automotive industry is entering a recession.Analysis of the experts of the former two descriptions are basically in agreement with the fact, but the launch of the third sentence conclusion is not suitable in the development of China automobile industry, industry wide sales growth, market expansion, development in a rational, market growth and growth in the fall, this is an indisputable fact. Reason 1, drop Industry thinks generally, this car sales growth slowed down and fall, on the one hand and the national macroeconomic regulation and control, and points out that the Seoul meeting of the Asian Development Bank Vice Finance Minister Li Yong, China's automobile industry is one of industries are included in the restricted credit.Suddenly, the monetary tightening credit, so that the dealer's liquidity has serious difficulties, at the same time, raising the threshold of credit, credit conditions are harsh, generally go up Juxian rate, so just start the car credit a car to sell a car, have been the hardest inhibition.On the other hand, Chibidaigou consumers wait-and-see atmosphere thick. 2, the development trend of the automobile market China car market in the first half of 2004 domestic car production of 2677100 vehicles, an increase of 27.10%; sales of 2553600 units, an increase of 24.15%; sales growth of nearly 3 percentage points lower than the growth of production, sales rate of 95.39%.Chinese automobile market demand, since March a growth decline, on the other hand, the first half of the year still maintained at 24% two digit growth level, China automobile market growth and growth in the fall.Half a year growth no longer appear greatly drop it, then China car market by 02 and 03 years of "blowout" development may turn to steady growth.(see Table 2, 3) (four) nodules Beginning in 2004, Central Committee in order to prevent the economy from overheating, in the national scope of the economic field to take macro-control policies, which will have a certain impact on the growing real estate market, the housing video the slowdown in price increases, consumers and investors on the real estate market of choice is more rational, therefore, predicted the market outlook of the real estate market there will be a slight adjustment, but the overall trend is still good. From the development trend of the office market, on the one hand with the enhanced development of suburbanization and the surrounding economic radiation ability and modern service industry increasingly detailed division of labor, office centrifugal tendency building also will be a major development.In this process, people will occur selectively, produce layout system more level, the level of.Commercial space development in the information society and the virtual space environment also has the possibility of suburbanization, distribution is not only confined to the traditional sense of the downtown or CBD.On the other hand, the small property, the sale of office buildings began to appear.Because the bank interest rates have been reduced, a part of stimulating the enthusiasm of investors, fast recovery, but also conducive to the developer fund risk diversification.Separation of the owner and the operator of the property, has become an inevitable trend in the trend of the times. As the main source of customers car city building in auto related industries and sectors, so the development and prediction of the automobile market, we can from the expected to trend in the future development of Anting office market.Is expected to nearly three years the impact of macroeconomic policies, the automobile market will enter a relatively stable growth period, will not appear before two years of "blowout" situation, the market is still optimistic. Is expected to supply 2004-2007 years, the Anting office market will continue to expand, but a change in demand is relatively less than demand.This is mainly affected by the development of the automobile industry as a whole, but after this period of time, and a new round of peak demand, which is why there are so many developers are willing to get involved in this field, the opportunities and challenges, how to grasp this opportunity, how to talent showing itself in the competition, establish their own unique the brand, which is the automobile city building focus on the need to grasp the marketing, promotion process in the future. Two, product (a) project introduction Shanghai International Automobile City building is intelligent to office based integrated building, both banks, restaurants and business functions, to meet the needs of corporate headquarters and offices set up Auto City in early development of automobile and spare parts supporting enterprise needs. The building is located in the core zone.West to East South Moyu Road, public access, to the north of the road, South to the pedestrian street.1km from the Shanghai Nanjing Expressway, transportation is convenient. Building land area of about 6587 square meters, a total construction area of about 32125 square meters, of which: 26749 square meters on the ground, the ground floor of 5376 square meters.The total height of 98 meters. WBuilding environment The building is close to the south to leisure square greening of more than 5000 square meters, the square with a layer of underground parking, can accommodate more than 300 vehicles.East to the well-known automobile manufacturer and distributor of automobile 4S stores. In the building, the South and East are under construction in the Auto Expo Park, Anting new town and golf course, the environment is very beautiful, is one of the best car in the position of the landscape. WArchitectural design This building for intelligent building high-grade, the main function for the business office, both banks, restaurants and business functions.A total construction area of 32125 square meters, 23 on the ground floor, ground floor, building area of 5376 square meters basement, as the equipment room and garage, a total of about ninety parking spaces. One to three layers of the building podium, construction area of about 4855 square meters, a layer of main bank; two or three layer mainly for catering.Sharing three storey Hall South flow of the fundus square and the surrounding environment view, has good visual effect.The internal space by cleverly interspersed stairs and empty corridor, the actual changes of the wall, the introduction of flexible contrast material, top light, create extremely rich spatial effect.In the light of the various landscape elements into it, so in the hustle and bustle of the city in the busy people here can get a soul and nature of the exchange and dialogue, fully embodies the design concept of a "people-oriented". The four layer to the twenty-three layer to the main building, construction area of about 22000 square meters.Engine room floor area of 400 square meters.Considering the function of use, the size of each layer, the area of 1000 square meters in control.Core barrel in the middle, in the supply of office space at the same time to ensure the comfort and reasonable use of space. WBuilding facade design space modeling Mark: through the surrounding environment, land analysis, the main building to take eight shape as the basis for change, is conducive to the formation of varied and uniform size, meet from different angle of view.The unfolding curves vertically up the towering tall and straight shape and, at the same time to highlight the landmark itself.North and south sides symmetrically gradually rising, close to the end of the high tube, formed on the surface of slightly undulating top office district skyline extension, change people originally of office building, the lack of rigid impression of change.Change facade and internal space transparent together constitute a vivid picture of the square. WBuilding equipment OTIS (Otis Elevator) 6: speed of 3m/s, load 1350Kg The French CIAT (CIAT) ice storage central air conditioning equipment Shanghai General Electric (GE) variable power distribution system Provide 2000 telephone line, broadband and wireless internet access The main economic indicators: Land area of 6589.5M2 volume rate of 4 The total construction area of 32125M2, building density 33% Of which: 31.5% 26749M2 rate of green land Underground 5376M2 concentrated green 10% Restaurant business area of 4855M2 underground parking spaces 90 Office area of 21894M2 building height 98M (two) SWOT analysis S (analysis) mining -- product selling points 1, the landmark advantage WThe special geographical position to create regional landmark Regional center city car building located at the west gate of Shanghai significant position, car city core area, CBD area the Shanghai international automobile city.From the Shanghai Nanjing Expressway after will see this case. WAs the ideal sailing, as the target speed, the symbolic meaning of personality elevation This product belongs to the modernist architectural style.Clearly structured lines and glass materials for the use of color with the Bauhaus style.Design of car styling elements from many, such as aerodynamic streamline shape, far view of the entire building, like a standing car; at the same time in the general layout, combination of cyclotron design, podium and pool two blocks a false one, hold the elliptic main floor, as if one is the rapid rotation, rolling wheels, with spiral podium and shape and the top of the building to showcase, strengthen the automobile city building integrity and unity.Last, in the use of wall materials of glass curtain wall, aluminum usage is also reminiscent of the modern traffic tools smooth shiny shell, the general line elevation is unified, also make full use of glass optical principle of reflection and refraction; emphasized gradually transparent appearance in the construction of the main building at the top of upper, seemingly hidden into the air, and at the same time feel the tall building, in stark contrast with the surrounding buildings, more highlights the design of the new in order to be different. From the side and look, the whole building is ideal for the voyage sails.Reflect the "people-oriented" design concept and auto city movement and the trend, Xin'an pavilion are blooming and the pursuit of.Building the builder will outstanding ideas into its monomer design, will become high-tech intelligent office building a house reflect the spirit of the people.And give the building a "vitality" in which, people feel the Yangfeng voyage, the world without end, this point exactly in line with the spirit of the Xin'an Pavilion, and reflects the strong momentum of the Shanghai International Automobile City unremitting pursuit, the vigorous development of the. 2, matching advantage W